Important Economic Trends During Anarchy – Week 22

2020 – Something Big is Afoot.  Are You Prepared?

Closer to the Edge:

This is the United States of America. We sent men to the moon so we can design and implement a system that ensures honest elections. Honest elections are the single requisite to legal government and the foundation of our country. Dishonest elections mean an illegal government.

C. S. Lewis wrote “When the whole world is running towards a cliff, he who is running in the opposite direction appears to have lost his mind.” We started this series of blogs twenty-two weeks ago when the data points indicated we were headed toward anarchy. The horde is still galloping toward that cliff blinded by a media controlled by companies with business ties with China. Only two independent media companies (OANN and Newsmax) and a lot of independent journalists, despite being periodically banned by Twitter and Facebook, are reporting real data points. Sidney Powell is being opposed by 25 law firms. We are witnessing David vs. Goliath.

As a white male I am a member of the only American segment that is legally, consistently discriminated against even by my government. As a southern male, I am used to Yankees deducting 30 points off my IQ.  As a southern, white male it is the norm for folks outside of the south to assume I am a racial bigot. Neither of those two assumptions are correct. My life experiences mean I belly laugh about accusations of “White Privilege.” Let me explain.

Over 48 years ago I began my real estate brokerage career with a car, a car loan, and $2,500 in my savings account, money I had saved from having a small yardwork business in my college days. I had to live with my parents because I could not afford rent. My goal was to marry a certain young lady and provide for our future family. Thoughts of wealth were tempered by Cat Steven’s song “The Cat in the Cradle”. Real estate brokerage is a tough career. Business success means 60+ hour weeks. There were horrible times when my cash on hand was close to zero and debts loomed. My Lord and Savior got our family though those brutal experiences.

The cost I was willing to pay for success shifted when I stood over the grave of a client who had worked 10 years, 24/7, and died at the age of 44 owning $1 Billion in commercial real estate he had developed with a net worth of $200 Million. Eighteen months later the financial markets collapsed, his estate was worth a negative $100 Million, and his family did not even get his life insurance. Nothing. He had not spent time with his kids who were teenagers.  A total waste.

I spent most of one day with one of the wealthiest men in the world, not an American. He was accompanied by seven “accountants” that always formed a perimeter. Nope, not interested.

There are houses within five miles of my home that are four or five times the size of my home. Some of those folks are acquaintances. They always have the newest and best cars, beach houses, river houses, private planes, etc.  Good for them.

Here is the secret I learned. Instead of focusing on life being unfair, I put my big boy pants on, focused on the talents God gave me, worked to become one of the best, and gave my Lord and Savior the praise for getting me through the horrible times and for the blessings He sent me. Where did I learn this secret? Experience with the Ten Commandments.

Commandment #10 – “You shall not covet your neighbor’s house, your neighbor’s wife, or male or female slave, or ox, or donkey, or anything that belongs to your neighbor.”

Last week, a reader of this blog accused me of White Privilege. I just shared with you my life experience. As a member of the only segment of America that is legally discriminated against, to me White Privilege and BLM are mottos of those who are coveting what someone else worked to achieve rather than focusing on their own God given talents, tasks, and blessings.

Commandment #9 – “You shall not bear false witness against your neighbor”.

That does not mean just in a court of law.  If you tell someone you are going to do something, do it. It also means that you cannot abide a dishonest election as we just witnessed. In fact, there are several places in the New Testament where Jesus teaches us that if we witness a sin and do nothing about it, it becomes our sin.  Sorry folks, I have enough already.  Honest elections now!

Commandment #1 – “I am the Lord your God, who brought you out of the land of Egypt, out of the house of slavery; you shall have no other gods before me.”

Those who put money, possessions, and power in front of God or think they have the right to make decisions that are solely God’s such as about human life (whether preborn, elderly, or in between) have violated the most important Commandment.  That is a bad spot.

The recent election will have a huge influence on the economy and the land market. The Vice Premier of China has stated that prior to Trump the Chinese government exercised influence on our government via Wall Street. That disappeared with Trump as President. However, the Chinese government has provided Biden with many gifts and investments, so they will be able to influence him.  Hunter Biden Laptop and Burisma Report? Will Biden put his money or us first?

Doing my best to separate fact from fiction, the highest probability scenario of this election is:

  1. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has bought enormous influence if not control of our politicians and media. Organizations such as M4BL (BLM) have stated that they received training in China on Marxism and tactics.  Some elected officials got rich.
  2. The Democrats/CCP have used Dominion Voting machines to influence our elections since 2012. In 2016 Trump overwhelmed the bias in the machines to defeat Clinton. In 2018 some Republican Senator candidates overwhelmed that bias and held the Senate.
  3. In 2020 the Democrats/CCP were so focused on winning that their fraud became blatant when Trump’s votes overwhelmed the Democrat/CCP plans. That triggered thousands of American volunteers to put Patriotism ahead of party, report the fraud, “Stop the Steal.”
  4. Those that participated in this election fraud include China, Iran, and other countries; international companies like Twitter, Facebook, and media companies with business ties with the CCP, the Democratic Party now dominated by Marxists, some Republicans.
  5. We are witnessing an historic event, a spontaneous reaction to massive, planned fraud.

I am not knowledgeable enough to list all the potential legal outcomes or calculate the probabilities, but I understand the economic contrast of the alternatives – Biden vs Trump.  Biden’s nominees for his cabinet believe China is the Hegemon and just want to profit from the transition to the New World Order. The USA will become like Venezuela, a vassal of China.

As Hegemon, the values of the world would reflect those of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) such as busing the leaders of the Hong Kong freedom fighters to Re-Education Camps where they will join 1 million Chinese Muslims being” re-educated” until their organs are harvested for sale.  Is our big media providing you with those facts?  My response, “Live Free or Die.”

Global capital outflow from the USA continues.  As a result, the yield of the 10-year Treasury is approaching 1%, a bad trend since The Fed is doing a record amount of Quantitative Easing (QE), $120 Billion per month.  The U. S. Dollar continues to fall against most currencies.  That negative combination reflects that under Biden/Harris this is going to end ugly for the USA. China recently reported record exports as a sign of strength.  Their economic numbers are never accurate, China is communist.  When global currency traders figure out that the Chinese Yuan is Fool’s Gold, another crisis.  But currently China is benefiting from capital fleeing the USA.

We continue to share with our clients the following scenario for a Biden – Harris Administration:

  1. Until June 2021, the USA economy is already baked –challenges in the spring but good.
  2. However, nine months after the passage of the first Biden platform item is a Recession.
  3. The more items on the Biden- Harris platform that become law, the worse that Recession:
  4. Since the Fed is tapped out, the greatest probability is the Recession will be SEVERE.

Stocks and bonds are fully priced. The increase in the 10-year Treasuries interest rate means whoever was holding 10-year Treasuries has lost a lot of money.  The amount of cash sitting on the sidelines has increased since March from $4 Trillion to $5.9 Trillion.  In an insured bank account that cash will not earn any return but short term the principle is preserved.

This economic “Bubble” was created by the historic combination of stimuli coursing through our economy.  Per our data bases, in central Virginia the land market is active but price sensitive.  The residential land market is red hot because The Fed is forcing mortgage rates below 3%.  When either The Fed or capital flight out of the USA results in even higher interest rates, the impact on the real estate market will be painful.  Commercial land is in flux and industrial land is softer because under Biden there will be little re-shoring of our industries back to the USA as Hunter Biden and others profit from selling our remaining industries to China.

History indicates that a great piece of land remains The Best investment long term.

“But we have this treasure in clay jars, so that it may be made clear that this extraordinary power belongs to God and does not come from us.”

(2 Corinthians 4:7   New Revised Standard Version, Oxford University Press)

Capitalism builds wealth, socialism consumes it in self destruction.  I serve an awesome God.  Pray for the Patriots and establishment of honest elections in the USA and globally.

Stay healthy,

Ned

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